Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.451151e-05 0.000041 0.000049 0.000057 0.000066 0.000077 0.000088
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.545595e-05 0.000034 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000085 0.000104
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.029277e-05 0.000030 0.000041 0.000056 0.000073 0.000094 0.000120
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.559900e-05 0.000025 0.000037 0.000053 0.000074 0.000099 0.000131
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.229673e-05 0.000022 0.000034 0.000052 0.000075 0.000104 0.000141
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.017067e-05 0.000019 0.000032 0.000052 0.000077 0.000110 0.000153
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.204295e-06 0.000017 0.000030 0.000050 0.000078 0.000114 0.000163
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.669761e-06 0.000015 0.000029 0.000050 0.000080 0.000119 0.000173
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.352085e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000049 0.000080 0.000123 0.000182
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.116876e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000047 0.000079 0.000124 0.000188
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.040785e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000044 0.000078 0.000125 0.000192
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.301312e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000042 0.000077 0.000126 0.000198
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.887702e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000044 0.000082 0.000136 0.000217
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.302000e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000043 0.000082 0.000141 0.000228
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.548075e-07 0.000006 0.000018 0.000043 0.000085 0.000148 0.000243
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.875355e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000041 0.000084 0.000150 0.000251
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.574969e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000039 0.000084 0.000153 0.000261
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.333762e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000039 0.000086 0.000160 0.000275
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.314370e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000038 0.000087 0.000164 0.000286
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.926559e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000038 0.000087 0.000168 0.000297
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.040647e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000037 0.000088 0.000172 0.000307
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 8.319974e-09 0.000002 0.000010 0.000035 0.000087 0.000173 0.000314
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 7.500352e-10 0.000001 0.000009 0.000033 0.000085 0.000173 0.000318